Can you express Vickers ideas in the methodology proposed by Snowden

Expressing Sir Geoffrey Vickers’ ideas through Dave Snowden’s methodology (Cynefin) involves reframing the “Appreciative System” as a mechanism for navigating the Complex domain[1][2].

While traditional systems thinking often focuses on “goal-seeking” (ordered logic), Vickers and Snowden both prioritize managing the present over engineering a fixed future[3][4].

1. The Decision Cycle: Judgments as Probe-Sense-Respond

Vickers’ three judgements can be mapped directly onto the Probe-Sense-Respond decision loop required for the Complex domain[5]:

Reality Judgment (Sense): In Snowden’s methodology, this is the process of gathering raw data—specifically micro-narratives—to see “what is the case” without the bias of an analyst[8][9]. It is the act of sensing the system’s current disposition[10].

Value Judgment (Sense/Refine): Once reality is sensed, it is compared against the system’s appreciative settings (its internal norms and values)[11]. This determines if the current state is “good or bad” and identifies a “mismatch signal” that requires action[12][13].

Instrumental Judgment (Probe/Respond): Because complex systems are unpredictable, you cannot “fix” them with a direct command. Instead, you launch “safe-to-fail” experiments (Probes) to see if you can nudge the system back into alignment with your norms[7][11].

2. Appreciative Settings as “Dispositional Constraints”

Snowden manages complexity by identifying attractors and barriers (constraints)[14]. Vickers’ Appreciative Settings—the readiness to see and value certain things while ignoring others—act as the internalized constraints of a social system[15][16].

• In a Cynefin context, these settings define the system’s “internal model of reality”[17].

• Handling diverse perspectives involves using Self-Signification (where subjects index their own stories) to reveal the varied appreciative settings across a “human sensor network”[8][18].

3. Relationship Maintenance vs. Goal Seeking

Snowden’s rejection of managing toward a “defined future state” in complexity aligns perfectly with Vickers’ core principle of Relationship Maintenance[3].

Snowden’s View: Manage the “evolutionary potential of the present” rather than a fixed vision[3].

Vickers’ View: Success is not reaching a “stop” (goal) but keeping essential relationships (with the environment, stakeholders, and values) within stable limits over time[20][21].

4. Narrative as the “Appreciative” Medium

Both authors argue that formal, linear models are inadequate for human complexity[22][23].

• Vickers views “appreciation” as a social process of mutual persuasion and dialogue to align inner worlds[24].

• Snowden operationalizes this through Narrative Research, using anecdotes and “messy coherence” to capture the complexity that mathematical models or rigid prose might miss[25].

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Would you like to explore how to use Snowden’s “Ritual Dissent” to challenge a team’s current “Appreciative Settings,” or should we look at how the “Italian Flag” model helps categorize Vickers’ Reality Judgments?[28][29]